Long-term changes of cross-shelf transports in the Yellow and East China Seas under different greenhouse gases emission scenarios

doi:10.1007/s00382-021-06045-8

CORC > 海洋研究所 > 中国科学院海洋研究所 > 海洋环流与波动重点实验室

	Long-term changes of cross-shelf transports in the Yellow and East China Seas under different greenhouse gases emission scenarios
	Hao, Jiajia 2,4,8; Yuan, Dongliang 1,2,4,7,8,9; Tian, Di 3; Su, Jian 6; Pohlmann, Thomas 5
刊名	CLIMATE DYNAMICS
	2021-11-23
页码	21
关键词	Cross-shelf transport Yellow and East China Seas RCP 4 5 RCP 8 5
ISSN号	0930-7575
DOI	10.1007/s00382-021-06045-8
通讯作者	Yuan, Dongliang(dyuan@qdio.ac.cn)
英文摘要	The cross-shelf exchange between the Yellow and East China Seas (YECS) with the Kuroshio is important for vorticity, freshwater, and effluence balances of the regional and global oceans, the responses of which to future climate changes are estimated based on Max-Planck coupled model simulations under one historical (20C, 1970-2005) and two representative concentration pathway scenarios of global warming (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) from 2006 to 2099. The results of the 20C simulation have shown prominent cross-shelf transports in the YECS, with annual mean outflow (OVT) and inflow (IVT) volume transports across the 100 m isobath of 3.97 Sv and 2.86 Sv (1 Sv = 10(6) m(3) s(-1)), respectively. These annual mean OVTs (and their equivalent IVTs) are projected to increase by 0.42 Sv and 0.48 Sv from 2006 to 2099, at rates of 11.0% and 12.8% from the 2006-2016 means, under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. The maximum rates of increase are found in winter to be at 13.2% and 19.9%, respectively. Analyses suggest that the winter monsoon has a long-term southwesterly change, forcing coastal currents to flow into the Yellow Sea along the China coasts to compensate for the increase of the southeastward surface Ekman transport. Due to increases of the Tsushima Strait and upper-layer Kuroshio transports, both the OVT and IVT across the 200 m isobath have onshore changes, resulting in net onshore transport increments of 0.30 Sv and 0.57 Sv under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. The enhanced cross-shelf exchanges under future warming scenarios in the YECS suggest their potential importance in carbon transportation and storage.
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[91858204] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41576016] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41720104008] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2020YFA0608800] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2019YFC1509102] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDB42000000] ; QMSNL[2018SDKJ0104-02] ; Kunpeng Outstanding Scholar Project of the FIO/MNR of China
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种	英语
出版者	SPRINGER
WOS记录号	WOS:000721669300002
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/177248]
专题	海洋研究所_海洋环流与波动重点实验室
通讯作者	Yuan, Dongliang
作者单位	1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, CAS Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao, Peoples R China 3.Minist Nat Resources, State Key Lab Satellite Ocean Environm Dynam, Inst Oceanog 2, Hangzhou, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Ocean Megasci, Qingdao, Peoples R China 5.Univ Hamburg, Ctr Earth Syst Res & Sustainabil, Inst Oceanog, Hamburg, Germany 6.Danish Meteorol Inst, Lyngbyvej 100, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark 7.Minist Nat Resources, Key Lab Marine Sci & Numer Modeling, Inst Oceanog 1, Qingdao, Peoples R China 8.Pilot Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol Qingdao, Qingdao, Peoples R China 9.Shandong Key Lab Marine Sci & Numer Modeling, Qingdao, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Hao, Jiajia,Yuan, Dongliang,Tian, Di,et al. Long-term changes of cross-shelf transports in the Yellow and East China Seas under different greenhouse gases emission scenarios[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2021:21.
APA	Hao, Jiajia,Yuan, Dongliang,Tian, Di,Su, Jian,&Pohlmann, Thomas.(2021).Long-term changes of cross-shelf transports in the Yellow and East China Seas under different greenhouse gases emission scenarios.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,21.
MLA	Hao, Jiajia,et al."Long-term changes of cross-shelf transports in the Yellow and East China Seas under different greenhouse gases emission scenarios".CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2021):21.