Analysis of the impact of dynamic economic resilience on post-disaster recovery "secondary shock" and sustainable improvement of system performance

doi:10.1016/j.ssci.2021.105443

	Analysis of the impact of dynamic economic resilience on post-disaster recovery "secondary shock" and sustainable improvement of system performance
	Zhang, Zhengtao 3,4,5; Cui, Peng 6,7; Hao, Jiansheng 6; Li, Ning 8; Zeng, Zhaoqi 6; Liu, Yuan 2; Zou, Qiang 9; Huang, Chengfang 3; Wu, Shengnan 1
刊名	SAFETY SCIENCE
	2021-12-01
卷号	144 页码:10
关键词	Resilience Indirect economic loss Climate change Economic development Sustainable development
ISSN号	0925-7535
DOI	10.1016/j.ssci.2021.105443
通讯作者	Cui, Peng(pengcui@imde.ac.cn)
英文摘要	Quantitative measuring disaster resilience especially dynamic economic resilience (DER) belongs to a frontier research in the past decades, which can effectively improve post-disaster economic recovery effects, reducing post-disaster loss. However, DER focuses more on the overall shape changes of recovery path, two features that commonly appear in the dynamic change process of recovery curve are also worth evaluating separately: the "secondary shock" caused by adverse factors during the recovery process and sustainable improvement of economic output at the end of recovery. Therefore, we adopt a dynamic input-output model that integrates capital damage and affected people and apply it to an extreme flood in 2016, Wuhan City, China, building the relationship between 7 recovery actions (rescue funds) and changes of two features, analyzing the impact of resilience on the dynamic recovery path features through 6 characteristic variables constructed in this paper. Results show that (1) economic resilience increases from no to actual action, the dropping rate caused by "secondary shock" decreases 30.4%, and Wuhan's economic output has achieved an improvement in sustainability of 0.088% compared to the pre-disaster level, which contributes permanently to reducing vulnerability to future disasters. (2) only 21.81% (compared to the actual scenario) of the rescue funds is needed to support 30% reduction action plus 0.02% sustainable improvement. But to support the 50% recovery action, 78.92% of the rescue funds is needed. This paper aims to provide a new perspective for the refined dynamic assessment of resilience and to prove the role of resilience in promoting short-term post-disaster recovery and long-term sustainable development.
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[41775103] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41871024] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41907395] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFC0504701] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFC1502901] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0602403] ; Key Research Program of Frontier Sciences, CAS[QYZDY-SSW-DQC006] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA23090300] ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation[2021M690425] ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation[2020T130647] ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation[2019M650828] ; International partnership program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[131551KYSB20160002]
WOS关键词	OUTPUT ; FRAMEWORK
WOS研究方向	Engineering ; Operations Research & Management Science
语种	英语
出版者	ELSEVIER
WOS记录号	WOS:000698084900004
资助机构	National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Key Research and Development Program of China ; Key Research Program of Frontier Sciences, CAS ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation ; International partnership program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/165982]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Cui, Peng
作者单位	1.Chongqing Inst Publ Adm, Ctr Emergency Management, Chongqing, Peoples R China 2.China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Beijing Normal Univ, MOE, Key Lab Environm Change & Nat Disaster, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Minist Emergency Management, Acad Disaster Reduct & Emergency Management, Beijing, Peoples R China 5.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Minist Educ, Beijing, Peoples R China 6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China 7.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 8.Acad Plateau Sci & Sustainabil, Xining, Qinghai, Peoples R China 9.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Key Lab Mt Hazards & Surface Proc, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhang, Zhengtao,Cui, Peng,Hao, Jiansheng,et al. Analysis of the impact of dynamic economic resilience on post-disaster recovery "secondary shock" and sustainable improvement of system performance[J]. SAFETY SCIENCE,2021,144:10.
APA	Zhang, Zhengtao.,Cui, Peng.,Hao, Jiansheng.,Li, Ning.,Zeng, Zhaoqi.,...&Wu, Shengnan.(2021).Analysis of the impact of dynamic economic resilience on post-disaster recovery "secondary shock" and sustainable improvement of system performance.SAFETY SCIENCE,144,10.
MLA	Zhang, Zhengtao,et al."Analysis of the impact of dynamic economic resilience on post-disaster recovery "secondary shock" and sustainable improvement of system performance".SAFETY SCIENCE 144(2021):10.