Urbanisation, energy consumption, and carbon dioxide emissions in China: A panel data analysis of China's provinces
Wang, Shaojian1,2; Fang, Chuanglin1; Guan, Xingliang3; Pang, Bo1,2; Ma, Haitao1
刊名APPLIED ENERGY
2014-12-31
卷号136页码:738-749
关键词Urbanisation Energy Consumption Co2 Emissions Panel Data Models Scenario Simulations
文献子类Article
英文摘要Global warming resulting from rapid economic growth across the world has become a worldwide threat. The coordination of development of urbanisation, energy consumption, and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions therefore forms an important issue; it has attracted considerable attention from both governments and researchers in recent years. This study investigated the relationship between urbanisation, energy consumption, and CO2 emissions over the period 1995-2011, using a panel data model, based on the data for 30 Chinese provinces. The potential to reduce CO2 emissions was also analysed. The results indicated that per capita CO2 emissions in China were characterised by conspicuous regional imbalances during the period studied; in fact, per capita CO2 emissions decrease gradually from the eastern coastal region to the central region, and then to the western region. Urbanisation, energy consumption, and CO2 emissions were found to present a long run bi-directional positive relationship, the significance of which was discovered to vary between provinces as a result of the scale of their respective economies. In addition, a bidirectional causal relationship was found to exist between urbanisation, energy consumption, and CO2 emissions: specifically, a bi-directional positive causal relationship exists between CO2 emissions and urbanisation, as well as between energy consumption and CO2 emissions, and a one way positive causal relationship exists from urbanisation to energy consumption. Scenario simulations further demonstrated that whilst China's per capita and total CO2 emissions will increase continuously between 2012 and 2020 under all of the three scenarios developed in this study, the potential to achieve reductions is also high. A better understanding of the relationship between urbanisation, energy consumption, and CO2 emissions will help China to realise the low-carbon economic development. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
WOS关键词LONG-RUN RELATIONSHIP ; UNIT-ROOT TESTS ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS ; DEVELOPING-COUNTRIES ; ECONOMIC-GROWTH ; IMPACT FACTORS ; FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT ; POLICY IMPLICATIONS ; RENEWABLE ENERGY
语种英语
出版者ELSEVIER SCI LTD
WOS记录号WOS:000345725800070
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/68441]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Fang, Chuanglin
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resource Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Natl Acad Mayors China, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wang, Shaojian,Fang, Chuanglin,Guan, Xingliang,et al. Urbanisation, energy consumption, and carbon dioxide emissions in China: A panel data analysis of China's provinces[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2014,136:738-749.
APA Wang, Shaojian,Fang, Chuanglin,Guan, Xingliang,Pang, Bo,&Ma, Haitao.(2014).Urbanisation, energy consumption, and carbon dioxide emissions in China: A panel data analysis of China's provinces.APPLIED ENERGY,136,738-749.
MLA Wang, Shaojian,et al."Urbanisation, energy consumption, and carbon dioxide emissions in China: A panel data analysis of China's provinces".APPLIED ENERGY 136(2014):738-749.
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